S&P 500 (ES)
It was a previous session 2 days of cycle: The regular CD2, integrated throughout the session, is integrated with a 6075+ line (LIS) of sand (LIS), held as a “key resistance.”
The weakness in the afternoon pushed prices near the day’s lowest. The contract rollover volume increased in the front month of September (U).
Mixed volume, low volatility, narrow range is made for sparse clean trading opportunities unless it’s a sculpture plan. Direction traders discovered that morning sessions were wasted and there was a bit of a good opportunity for the afternoon sessions.
The range was 63 handles on the exchanged 1.141m contract.
This is the preview FOMC meeting from June 17th to 18th, 2025leading to policy decisions Wednesday, June 18th at 2pm Powell’s press conference 2:30pm wsj.com+15cbsnews.com+15forex.com+15
🔍Important expectations
1. Rate determination
2. Dot Plots and Economic Forecast Overview (SEP)
3. Policy Statement Tone
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I look forward to it “Waiting Time” Languagetariffs, global trade tensions, and emphasis on continuing risks from Middle East development wsj.com+15reuters.com+15kiplinger.com+15.
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The Fed will notice that inflation remains “It’s got a little higher.” And so is the labor market “solid”and Increased uncertainty It could change the trajectory of growth and inflation ey.com.
4. Economic background
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inflation: PCE and CPI measurements have been relaxed (approximately 2.1-2.4%), but rising oil and tariff pressures, especially from Israeli-Iran conflict, pose an upward risk .
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Labor Market: Revisions and claims of rising wages suggest softness, but employment benefits (~139k in May), low unemployment (~4.2%) Investors.com+1kiplinger.com+1.
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Trade/Duty: Recent actions have spurred the expectations and uncertainty of inflation. Full effect may occur in H2 2025 .
5. Geopolitical and political contexts
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Volatility in the Middle East (Israel Iran) has stirred up oil prices and complicated inflation containment .
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Political pressure: Looking for President Trump to actively cut interest rates – portray Powell as “numbskull” – we will continue. The Fed is committed Independence reuters.com+13Investors.com+13nypost.com+13.
hose What to see on June 18th
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Dot plot revision – Especially the number/timing of rate reductions.
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Fed Statement Tone – Shift towards attention and emphasize risk.
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Boiler plate changes – Important phrases about inflation and labor.
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Powell’s press conference:
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Clearly the impact of tariffs and oil.
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The definition of economic situation leads to reductions.
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Reaction to concerns of political interference.
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📊 Market impact and outlook
🔚Overview
June FOMC will stabilize fees, maintain careful language, Downgrading Projection About Growth Forecasts containing inflation are forecast upward. Dot plot And Powell’s press drives the tone based on policy expectations. The market is watching when signal First cut It may arrive – by that September– But short-term bias is heading towards restraint.
Free trial Link to PTG/Taylor 3-Day Cycle
Click this link for a more detailed summary of the trading session. trading Room Summary 6.17.25
…Transition from day 2 to day 3 of cycle
I will move to 3 days of cycle: Prices are currently above CD1 low (6000) as of this writing (7pm) and must be traded above during RTH. This will satisfy a positive 3-day cycle statistics with a history performance track record of 90.40%.
The market has been closed near LOD, and Momentum sales appear to be spilling into Globex sessions.
Today’s big event is of course the FOMC (preview above). Israel/Iran remains a “wild card” for influential market response in the event of a conflict escalation. It appears on the PTG Bingo Card, but I hope you won’t be called to fill out. Beware!
Of course, there are no changes to the PTG… simply follow your plans. Triple your setup and manage your $risk. There is always a hard stop loss for exchanges.
PTG’s Primary directive (PD) that’s right Always be consistent in The dominant force.
So the scenario to consider for today’s trading.
Bull scenario: Prices maintain bids above 6030+, initially targeting the 6045-6050 zone.
Bear scenario: Prices maintain offers below 6030+, initially targeting the 6015-6005 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6068 PVA Low Edge = 6034 Prior POC = 6040
ESU
Nasdaq (NQ)
It was a previous session 2 days of cycle: A regular CD2 with price integrated within the previous open range zone during the previous session will integrate the previous CD2. DTS Briefing 6.17.25. The afternoon session was a different story. Sellers became aggressive and pushed prices down at low quartiles within the day’s range. The range was 267 points on the exchanged 400K contract.
…Transition from day 2 to day 3 of cycle
I will move to 3 days of cycle: Prices are currently above CD1 low (21726) as of this writing (7pm) and must be traded above during RTH. This will satisfy a positive 3-day cycle statistics with a history performance track record of 90.40%.
The market has been closed near LOD, and Momentum sales appear to be spilling into Globex sessions.
Today’s big event is of course the FOMC (preview above).
Of course, there are no changes to the PTG… simply follow your plans. Triple your setup and manage your $risk. There is always a hard stop loss for exchanges.
PTG’s Primary directive (PD) that’s right Always be consistent in The dominant force.
So the scenario to consider for today’s trading.
Bull scenario: Prices maintain bids above 21960+, initially targeting the 22050-22130 zone.
Bear scenario: Price maintains offers below 21960+- – and initially targets the 21875-21860 zone.
PVA High Edge = 22127 PVA Low Edge = 22017 Prior POC = 22087
nqu
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy simply remains unchanged. Both the long side and the short side can be traded from the pivot level. Keep focused Bull/Bear Stacker and Premium/Discount. As always, when you are consistent with the dominant power within the day, you will increase your chances of generating a winning trade.
Keep focused…not bias…discipline Always use the stop!
Good deal…David
“It’s not enough to know. You have to apply. You’re happy to not enough. We have to.” –br
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