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Economic Insight > Blog > Economics > The middle income trap – Econlib
The middle income trap – Econlib
Economics

The middle income trap – Econlib

EC Team
Last updated: May 20, 2025 4:13 am
EC Team
Published May 20, 2025
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In America, poor people often face relatively high, implicit marginal tax rates, as they lose more profits as their income rises. economist There is an article discussing a similar situation in the UK. This affects the upper middle class.

At £100,000, removing the tax-free allowance will create a marginal tax rate of 60% for those lucky enough to get fat. Young high flyers could face a 71% tax rate if they include national insurance and student loan repayments that behave like taxes. When the Beatles moaned about “One for you, 19 for me,” it’s not on the level of the 1960s at all, but it’s not too far. . . Conservatives have introduced luxurious free childcare allowances worth tens of thousands of thousands. still [the upper middle class] will be excluded. Once this is all put together, [family] In London, having two children under the age of five would be better off earning £99,999 than £149,000. Tax experts often have to explain that if income exceeds a certain threshold, the tax rate guarantees that there are no huge losses. However, in the UK, earning a pound above 100,000 costs thousands.

High implicit marginal tax rates will be wasted to generate wealth. The graphs in the article show that many taxpayers are bundled for just under £100,000.

Suppose the UK starts with a programme where all taxpayers are eligible for child allowance. Should libertarians “mean test” the programme to ensure that those who earn more than £100,000 will no longer be eligible? On the other hand, this will reduce government spending. On the other hand, it raises the implicit marginal tax rate and makes it difficult to escape the trap of middle income.

The United States could soon face this dilemma with its social security program. We hope there will be calls to reduce the profits of people with incomes above certain thresholds. However, this implicitly serves as a tax on savings, making people who have saved to supplement Social Security with private savings look like suckers. If Americans respond by reducing their savings, this could boost the trade deficit.

When I read about modern British politics, I am constantly amazed at the extent to which Margaret Thatcher’s supply side achievements have been destroyed by the Modern Conservative Party. economist There are two other articles that address the recent poor performance of the UK economy. In one article, they discussed how the UK failed to take advantage of the available opportunities after leaving the EU, including making the aviation industry more competitive.

The Competitive Markets Agency (CMA), the regulator, has been a mustard keene on such market reforms for many years. Rishi Sunak’s conservative government looked enthusiastic. Ir Kiel’s labor government is not. The new minister has his own priorities and concludes that a highly complicated battle with vested interests is not worth the candle.

This is an example of how the UK designed the worst possible Bregt. There was something rare here, as the UK slot rules were fixed in EU law. Singapore On Thames welcomes Singapore Airlines. Instead, the UK lost the EU–Access to the market is not valuable for the simplification of regulations that may have thus weakened competition for UK companies and encouraged it.

Another article It shows that British citizens have come to regret their decision to leave the EU.

One reason for the widening gap is that Brexit supporters die:

During that campaign, Labour had a relentless focus on beating the shaking Tories. But the Grim Reaper has proven to be just as useful. During the 2019-2024 elections, many conservative voters died as they switched from conservatives to labor.

The influence of the dead man can be felt in the policy and the ballot box. The dead are one of Brexit’s most powerful supporters. Two-thirds of those who shuffled this deadly coil since 2020 supported leaving the EU.

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